Everyone passed; the Forehand, P1, plays the Call, calls the XX, which you do not hold, and announces Pagat Ultimo. You are P3. Your hand: Skus, XXI, XIV, XII, X, VIII, VI, V, J, 1
.
P2Defender








10 cards










Pass
P1Forehand, Declarer








10 cards










P4Defender








10 cards










Pass
Your hand










Do you say Kontra against the Pagat Ultimo? You kontra only an item you can be sure must fail.
Answer
Say Kontra: the Pagat Ultimo must fail. Your Skus and your Moon each win the trick you play them to (a Fairy Tale Trick would need both in that trick), and each win lets you lead away one of your two color cards; after that you hold only Taroks, so one of them is in the last trick and beats the Pagat. The Kontra doubles the bonus only: you and the other Defender then add 4 Victory Points each instead of 2.
Rule: If you believe that the Declarer will not deliver the contract, you may say Kontra; here you say it only when the cards prove it.