Strawman: Puzzle L15

STR-L15 Puzzle

Declarer Challenge, trick 1. You are the Forehand and the Declarer, and you lead. No reveal sent a Tarok or a King into either hand.

P2Dealer
15 cards

Your face-up pile cards

Jack of DiamondsOne of HeartsJack of Clubs

Your opponent's face-up pile cards

Seven of SpadesCavalier of ClubsJack of Hearts

Your hand

Tarok IVTarok VTarok VIITarok VIIITarok IXTarok XITarok XVTarok XXICavalier of HeartsQueen of HeartsKing of DiamondsNine of ClubsTen of ClubsTen of SpadesKing of Spades

Which card is sure to win the first trick?