Strawman: Puzzle M13

STR-M13 Puzzle

Dodge Round, trick 1. You are the Forehand and lead. Your opponent's reveal sent the XIV into their hand.

P2Dealer
16 cards

Your face-up pile cards

Three of HeartsNine of SpadesOne of Diamonds

Your opponent's face-up pile cards

Four of HeartsFour of DiamondsSeven of Spades

Shown into your opponent's hand by their reveal

Tarok XIV

Your hand

Tarok XVITarok XVIIITarok XXCavalier of HeartsThree of DiamondsTwo of DiamondsCavalier of DiamondsQueen of DiamondsSeven of ClubsTen of ClubsQueen of ClubsEight of SpadesJack of SpadesCavalier of SpadesQueen of Spades

You want to lose this trick. Which card is sure to lose it?