Strawman: Puzzle L2

STR-L2 Puzzle

Both players passed, so this is the Dodge Round, trick 1. You are the Forehand and lead. No reveal sent a Tarok or a King into either hand.

P2Dealer
15 cards

Your face-up pile cards

Eight of ClubsOne of DiamondsTen of Spades

Your opponent's face-up pile cards

One of HeartsEight of SpadesFour of Diamonds

Your hand

Tarok XXTarok XVITarok XITarok VIIITarok IVKing of HeartsCavalier of HeartsThree of HeartsQueen of DiamondsTwo of DiamondsKing of ClubsJack of ClubsNine of ClubsJack of SpadesNine of Spades

You want to lose this trick. Which card is sure to lose it?